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ILB 市況速遞

Feb 9, 2010 , Posted by Diamond Recruit at 10:20 AM



美國市場
美國股市上升,繼錄得自2009年3月以來最大跌幅後反彈,因投資 者揣測歐盟可望解決希臘及西班牙的預算赤字問題,及消費信貸跌幅少於預期。

歐洲市場
歐洲股市下跌,於11個月以來最大的單週跌幅擴大,因市場憂慮希臘、葡萄牙及西班牙的舒緩預算赤字措拖將影 響區內經濟復甦。

英國2010年1月份生產物價錄得自2008年

以來最大按年升幅,因石油及五金成本上升和經濟走出衰退。

日本市場
日本股市下跌,因日圓升值,商 品價格下跌及美國申領失業救濟人數上升,削弱投資者對全球最大市場的信心以及因市場對歐洲主權債務的憂慮觸 發日圓兌美元及歐元升值。

亞太市場
亞洲股市下挫,摩根士丹利亞太指 數錄得近10週以來最大跌幅,因美國申領失業救濟人數意外上升,及市場憂慮歐 洲國家的負債情況。

台灣股市下跌至5個月以來最低位,新台幣貶值,因市場憂慮歐洲國家難以阻止預算赤字擴大,從而削弱投資者 對較高風險的新興市場資產的需求。

南韓Kospi指數下跌,並連續第3週報跌。Korea Zinc Co創下自1月13日以來最大跌幅。黃金價格於週四創下自2008年 以來最大跌幅,因美元持續上升削弱貴金屬作為另類投資的需求。銀價下調,而 鋅價亦下跌。

澳洲營建業於2010年1月份以兩年以來最快的速度增長,因 住宅、工程及商業樓宇的需求增加。

中國/香港
中國股市收低,基準指數創下自2009年10月以來最長單週跌勢,因投資 者擔心環球經濟增長放緩將阻礙中國出口持續復甦。能源及金屬股領跌,中國石油下跌至自2009年9月以來最低位,而江西銅業亦下跌,因商品價格此前創下自2009年8月以來最大跌幅。

香港股市下跌,?生指數創下自2008年10月以來最長單週跌勢,因思捷 環球前主席出售股權,及商品價格跟隨金屬價格下滑。

新興市場
巴西股市連續第4週下跌,因市場憂慮歐洲各國政府將難以舒緩財政赤字,繼而拖慢環球經濟復甦。

債券市場
美國國庫券價格上升,兩年期國庫 券孳息率下跌至8週以來最低位,因市場憂慮歐洲國家的赤字情況,加上就業職位意外減少,反 映美國經濟復甦減慢,促使投資者追逐較安全的美國國庫券。

商品市場
黃金市場的長遠基本因素仍然向好。帶動投資需求的主要因素為美元偏軟及通脹隱憂,預 期有關情況將會持續。其他長期利好因素包括金礦供應減少,及央行的淨黃金銷售可能下跌,因而將支持價格上揚。事實上,央行甚至可能成為黃金的淨買家!



 


U.S. Market
U.S. stocks rose, rebounding from the biggest losses since March 2009, as investors speculated the European Union may come up with a solution for budget deficits in Greece and Spain and consumer credit dropped less than forecast.

European Market
European stocks declined for a third day, extending the biggest weekly slump in 11 months, on concern efforts by Greece, Portugal and Spain to reduce their deficits will hurt the region’s economic recovery.

U.K. producer prices rose in January 2010 from a year earlier by the most since 2008 as costs of oil and scrap metal climbed and the economy emerged from recession.

Japan Market
Japanese stocks fell after the yen strengthened, commodity prices fell and U.S. jobless claims increased, undermining confidence in the world’s largest market as well as the yen appreciated against the dollar and the euro amid sovereign debt concerns in Europe.

Asia / Pacific Market
Asian stocks declined, dragging the MSCI Asia Pacific Index down by the most in 10 weeks, after U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly increased and concern grew over European sovereign debt.

Taiwan’s stocks plunged to the lowest in five months and the currency dropped as concern European nations will struggle to finance widening budget deficits eroded investor appetite for riskier, emerging-market assets.

South Korea’s Kospi index fell. It’s the stock gauge’s third straight weekly decline. Korea Zinc Co. dropped the most since Jan. 13. Gold plunged on thursday the most since 2008 as the dollar extended a rally, eroding the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative asset. Silver tumbled, while zinc also dropped.
Australia’s building industry expanded in January 2010 at the fastest pace in two years amid rising demand for apartment, engineering and commercial construction.
China/ Hong Kong Market
China’s stocks fell, sending the benchmark index to its longest weekly losing streak since October 2009, on concern faltering global economic growth will prevent the nation’s exports from sustaining a recovery. Energy and metal stocks led the decline, with PetroChina Co. falling to the lowest since September 2009 and Jiangxi Copper Co., the nation’s biggest producer of copper, sliding after commodity prices slumped the most since August 2009.

Hong Kong’s benchmark stock index fell in the longest weekly losing streak since October 2008 after the former chairman of Esprit Holdings Ltd. sold shares and commodity producers dropped along with metal prices.

Emerging Markets
Brazil’s Bovespa stock index fell for a fourth week, on concern European governments struggling to finance their budget deficits will slow the global economic recovery.

Bond Market
Treasuries rose, pushing two-year yields to the lowest in eight weeks, as investors sought the safety of U.S. debt on concern deficits threaten Europe and that unexpected job losses signaled a slow American recovery.

Commodity Market
The long term fundamentals in the gold market remain positive. The key factors that have been driving investment demand – concerns about US Dollar weakness and inflation – are likely to persist. Other positive long-term factors include falling mine supply and the potential for a reduction in net central bank sales will all be supportive of prices. Indeed, central banks may even become net buyers of gold!



聲明:
上述資料只應作為個人投資風險程度的分析及指引,不應作為 投資結論。
以上資料僅供參考之用,投資選擇過去的業績並不代表將來表現。
由於投資組合頗多元化,加上匯率及利率浮動,投資選擇單位 及收益回報可升亦可跌。



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